Dr. Sanjeev Gupta



"Can a causal link be drawn? A commentary on 'the impact of IMF conditionality on government health expenditure: A cross-national analysis of 16 West African nations'," Social Science & Medicine, February 2017.
"Does Conditionality Mitigate the Potential Negative Effect of Aid on Revenues?" Journal of Development Studies, 2017 (forthcoming) with Ernesto Crivelli (IMF Working Paper, WP/16/142).
"Now or Later? The Political Economy of Public Investment in Democracies" European Journal of Political Economy, December 2016 (with Estelle Liu and Carlos Mulas-Granados).
"Budget Institutions in Low-income Countries: Lessons from G-20 Countries," OECD Journal of Budgeting, December 2015 (with S. Ylaoutinen and others).
"Does conditionality in IMF-supported programs promote revenue reform?" International Tax and Public Finance, October 2015 (with Ernesto Crivelli).
“Debt Reduction, Fiscal Adjustment, and Growth in Credit-Constrained Economies,” Journal of Applied Economics, May 2015 (with Emanuele Baldacci and Carlos Mulas-Granados).
"The International Monetary Fund and the Ebola outbreak” Lancet Global Health, January 4, 2015"
"Resource Blessing, Revenue Curse? Domestic Revenue Effort in Resource-Rich Countries" with Ernesto Crivelli, The European Journal of Political Economy, May 2014
"Energy subsidies: How large are they and how can they be reformed? With Benedict Clements, David Coady, Stefania Fabrizio, and Baoping Shang Economics of Energy & Environmental Policy, Volume 3, 2014"
"Efficiency-Adjusted Public Capital and Growth, World Development," May 2014 With Alvar Kangur, Chris Papageorgiou, Abdoul Wane
“Foreign Aid and Revenue: Still a Crowding-Out Effect?" FinanzArchiv / Public Finance Analysis vol. 70 March 2014 with Dora Benedek, Ernesto Crivelli, and Priscilla Muthoora
"Global Health 2035: A World Converging Within a Generation," The Lancet, December 2, 2013 (with Larry Summers and Dean Jamison and others)
“Is Social Spending Procyclical? Evidence for Developing Countries”, World Development, Volume 42, February 2013, Pages 16-27 (with Javier Arze Del Granado and Alejandro Hajdenberg) Revised IMF Working Paper 10/234
“What Happens to Social Spending in IMF-Supported programmes?” Applied Economics, Volume 45, Issue 28, 2013, (with Benedict Clements and Masahiro Nozaki) (Revised IMF Staff Discussion Note 11/15)
“Reassessing the Fiscal Mix for Successful Debt Reduction” Economic Policy, July 2012 (with Emanuele Baldacci and Carlos Mulas-Granados)
"Political and Fiscal Risk Determinants of Sovereign Spreads in Emerging Markets,” Review of Development Economics, May 2011 (with Emanuele Baldacci and Amine Mati) (revised IMF Working Paper, 08/259).
“Effect of Development Assistance on Domestic Health Expenditures”, Lancet, August 21, 2010.
Response of the International Monetary Fund to its Critics” International Journal of Health Services, Volume 40, Number 2, 2010.
New Evidence on Fiscal Adjustment and Growth in Transition Economies in Comparative Economic Studies, March 2010 (with Alex Segura-Ubeirgo, Alejandro Simone)(revised IMF Working Paper 06/244)
"Natural Resource Endowments and Domestic Revenue Effort," The European Journal of Political Economy, December 2009 (with Fabian Bornhorst and John Thornton) (revised IMF Working Paper, WP/08/170)
“Effect of Remittances on Poverty and Financial Development in Sub-Saharan Africa,” World Development, Volume 37, Issue 1, January 2009, pages 104-115 (with Catherine Pattillo and Smita Wagh) (revised IMF Working Paper 07/38), 2008.
"Social Spending, Human Capital, and Growth in Developing Countries," World Development, August 2008 (with Emanuele Baldacci, Benedict Clements, and Qiang Cui) (Revised IMF Working Paper 04/217).
"Regional Trade Agreements in Africa: Past Performance and Way Forward," African Development Review, December 2007 (with Y. Yang). (Revised IMF Working Paper 05/36)
"The Effects of Oil Subsidy Reform in Indonesia," The Developing Economies, June 2007 (with Benedicte Clements and Hong-Sang Jung) (revised IMF Working Paper 03/204).
"Public Spending, Voracity, and Wagner's Law in Developing Countries, European Journal of Political Economy," December 2006 (with Bernardin Akitoby, Benedict Clements, and Gabriela Inchauste) (revised IMF Working Paper 04/202.)
"The Phasing of Fiscal Adjustments:What Works in Emerging Market Economies?" Review of Development Economics, November 2006 (with Baldacci, B.Clements, and C. Mulas-Granados) (revised IMF Working Paper 04/157, August 2004).
"Are Donor Countries Giving More or Less Aid?" Review of Development Economics, August 2006, (IMF Working Paper 06/1, January 2006) (with Cathy Patillo and Smita Wagh).
"What Sustains Fiscal Consolidations in Emerging Market Countries?" International Journal of Finance & Economics, Vol 10, October 2005 (with B. Clements, E. Baldacci, and E. Tiongson) (Revised IMF Working Paper 03/224, November 2003).
"Fiscal Policy, Expenditure Composition, and Growth in Low-Income Countries," Journal of International Money and Finance (April 2005) (with B. Clements, E. Baldacci, and C. Mulas-Granados) (revised IMF Working Paper 02/77, May 2002).
"Foreign Aid and Consumption Smoothing: Evidence from Global Food Aid," Review of Development Economics (August 2004) (with B. Clements and E. Tiongson) (revised IMF Working Paper 03/40, February 2003).
"Fiscal Consequences of Armed Conflict and Terrorism in Low- and Middle-Income Countries," European Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 20 (June 2004) (with B. Clements and others) (revised IMF Working Paper 02/142, August 2002).
"The Persistence of Fiscal Adjustments in Developing Countries," Applied Economics Letters, 2004, Vol. 11, pp. 209–212 (with B. Clements, E. Baldacci, and Mulas-Granados) (part of IMF Working Paper 02/77, May 2002).
"Transition Economies: How Appropriate is the Size and Scope of Government?" Comparative Economic Studies (December 2003) (with L. de Mello, L. Leruth, and S. Chakravarti) (revised IMF Working Paper 01/55, May 2001).
"Safety Nets and the Implementation of Macroeconomic Adjustment Programs," Economic and Political Weekly, Issue: VOL 38 No. 37 (September 13, 2003) (with B. Clements and G. Inchauste).
"Public Spending on Health Care and the Poor," Health Economics, Wiley, August 2003 (with M. Verhoeven and E. Tiongson) (revised IMF Working Paper 01/127, September 2001).
"More Aid--Making It Work for the Poor," World Economics, London, December 2002 (with P. Heller) (shortened IMF Policy Discussion Paper 02/05, March 2002).
"Decomposing Social Indicators Using Ecological Inference," Applied Economics Letters, Vol. 9, December 2002 (with M. Verhoeven and E. Tiongson) (part of the IMF Working Paper 01/127, September 2001).
"The Effectiveness of Government Spending on Education and Health Care in Developing and Transition Economies," European Journal of Political Economy, North Holland, November 2002 (with M. Verhoeven and E. Tiongson) (revised IMF Working Paper 99/21, February 1999).
"Does Corruption Affect Income Inequality and Poverty? Economics of Governance," Springer, Spring 2002 (with H. Davoodi and R. Alonso-Termé) (revised IMF Working Paper 98/76, May 1998).
"Debt Relief and Public Health Spending in Heavily Indebted Countries," Bulletin of WHO, February 2002 (with B. Clements, M. Guin-Siu, and L. Leruth).
“Privatization, Labor, and Social Safety Nets,” Journal of Economic Surveys, Blackwell, December 2001 (with C. Schiller, H. Ma, and E. Tiongson) (revised IMF Working Paper 99/68, May 1999).
“Corruption and Military Spending,” European Journal of Political Economy, North Holland, November 2001 (with L. de Mello and R. Sharan) (revised IMF Working Paper 00/23, February 2000).
“The Efficiency of Government Expenditure: Experiences from Africa,” Journal of Policy Modeling, North Holland, May 2001 (with M. Verhoeven) (revised IMF Working Paper 97/153, November 1997).
“Economic Transition and Social Protection—Issues and Agenda for Reform,” Reflets & Perspectives de la vie économique, March 1999 (also published as IMF PPAA 98/14, December 1998).
“Worldwide Military Spending, 1990–95,” Defence and Peace Economics, Harwood Academic Publishers, 1998 (with J. Schiff and B. Clements) (IMF Working Paper 96/64, June 1996).
“Social Protection in Transition Economies: Emerging Issues,” Moct-Most, Economic Journal of Eastern Europe and the Former Soviet Union, Kluwer Publishers, September 1996 (with K. Chu) (IMF PPAA 96/5, May 1996).
“Taxation of Petroleum Products: Theory and Empirical Evidence,” Energy Economics, London, Vol. 17, May 1995 (with W. Mahler) (revised IMF Working Paper 94/32, March 1994).
“Public Expenditure Policy and the Environment: Review and Syntheses,” World Development, Vol. 23, No. 3, March 1995 (with K. Miranda and I. Parry) (IMF Working Paper 93/27, February 1993).
“Effects of the Common Agricultural Policy of the European Community: A Survey of the Literature,” Journal of Common Market Studies, December 1988 (with D. Demekas and others).
“Further Evidence on the Impact of Dairy Development Programme,” Economic and Political Weekly, Bombay, March 1987 (with B. Bowonder, B. Das Gupta, and S. Prasad).
“Impact of Dairy Development Programmes,” Food and Nutrition Bulletin, U.S.A., December 1986.
“Energy Use in Rural Areas: A Study of 10 Villages,” Natural Resources Forum, New York, November 1996 (with B. Bowonder, B. Das Gupta, and S. Prasad).
“Compensating Government Employees for Price Increase: Basis, Trends and Forecasts,” Economic and Political Weekly, Bombay, February 1986 (with P.Gupta).
“Effect of Oil Price Increases on Developing Countries—A reply,” Energy Economics, London, Vol. 8, January 1986 (with H. Dick, V. Vincent, and H. Voigt).
“Inflation and Incentive to Invest in Capital Assets,” Economic and Political Weekly, Bombay, May 1985 (with P. Gupta).
“Export Growth and Economic Growth Revisited,” The Indian Economic Journal, January to March 1985.
“Causal Relationship Between Domestic Credit and International Reserves: The Experience of Developing Countries,” Kredit and Kapital, Bonn, June 1984. Also available as Kiel Working Paper, No. 139, Kiel Institute of World Economics, April 1982.
“Unrecorded Trade at Black Exchange Rate: Analysis, Implications, Estimates,” Aussenwirtschaft, St. Gallen, May 1984.
“The Effect of Oil Price Increase on Four Oil-Poor Developing Countries: A Comparative Analysis,” Energy Economics, London, January 1984 (with H. Dick, D. Vincent, and H. Voight). A longer version available in “Comparing the Effects of the Second OPEC Oil Price Shock on Income and Resource Allocation in Four Oil-Poor Developing Economies; Ivory Coast, Kenya, South Korea, Turkey,” Kiel Working Paper, No. 123, Kiel Institute of World Economics, August 1981.
“Who Benefits from the Adjustment Process in Developing Countries? A Test on India, Kenya and Turkey,” Journal of Policy Modeling, U.S.A. No. 1, 1984 (with S. Togan). A longer version available in Recent German Research in International Economics, edited by the Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft, Bonn, 1984, W. Germany. Also available as “On Managing Adjustment to External Shocks in Oil Importing Developing Countries,” Kiel Working Paper, No. 149, Kiel Institute of World Economies, August 1982.
“World Demand for Cobalt, An Econometric Study,” Resources Policy, London, December 1983 (with P. Gupta).
“The Short-term Impact of Fluctuating Primary Commodity Prices on Three Developing Countries: Colombia, Ivory Coast and Kenya,” World Development, U.K., May 1983 (with H. Dick, T. Mayer, and D. Vincent). Reprinted in International Commodity Policy, edited by H.W. Singer, N. Hatti, and R. Tandon, Ashish, New Delhi, 1987. Also available as Kiel Working Paper, No. 155, Kiel Institute of World Economics, August 1982.
“India and the Second OPEC Oil Price Shock—An Economy Wide Analysis,” Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv, Tübingen, March 1983.
“Indexation of UNCTAD Core Commodity Prices by Buffer Stocks or Export Quotas: A Comparison of the Benefits for Two Developing Economies,” Journal of Development Economics, Amsterdam, December 1982 (with H. Dick, T. Mayer, and D. Vincent).
“Analyzing the Pricing Efficiency in Spatial Markets: Concept and Application,” European Review of Agricultural Economics, Amsterdam, 1982 (with Rolf Mueller).
“Intertemporal Pricing Efficiency in Agricultural Markets: The Case of Slaughter Hogs in W. Germany,” European Review of Agricultural Economics, Amsterdam, 1982 (with Rolf Mueller).
“Estimates of the Unreported Economy in India,” Economic and Political Weekly, Bombay, January 1982 (with P. Gupta). Reprinted in Unsanctioned Economy, edited by G.S. Monga and G. Sanctis, Himalaya Publishing Company, Bombay, 1984. Also available as Kiel Working Paper, No. 130, Kiel Institute of World Economics, November 1981.
“A Test of the Efficiency of Futures Markets in Commodities,” Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv, Tübingen, December 1981 (with T. Mayer). Also available as Kiel Working Paper, No. 199, Kiel Institute of World Economics, March 1981.

“A Note on the Efficiency of Black Markets in Foreign Currencies,” Journal of Finance, U.S.A., June 1981.

  “An Application of Monetary Approach to Black Market Exchange Rates,” Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv, Tübingen, June 1980.